Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005681 0.006008 0.006346 0.006724 0.007135 0.007570 0.008065
2026-01-04 0.005184 0.005666 0.006190 0.006806 0.007513 0.008304 0.009263
2026-01-11 0.004803 0.005363 0.005990 0.006753 0.007663 0.008723 0.010068
2026-01-18 0.004536 0.005151 0.005857 0.006740 0.007825 0.009134 0.010863
2026-01-25 0.004295 0.004944 0.005706 0.006678 0.007907 0.009433 0.011519
2026-02-01 0.004191 0.004889 0.005725 0.006817 0.008233 0.010047 0.012618
2026-02-08 0.004023 0.004744 0.005620 0.006787 0.008333 0.010366 0.013336
2026-02-15 0.003886 0.004627 0.005542 0.006781 0.008458 0.010715 0.014117
2026-02-22 0.003724 0.004469 0.005402 0.006682 0.008446 0.010870 0.014620
2026-03-01 0.003580 0.004329 0.005276 0.006594 0.008439 0.011026 0.015129
2026-03-08 0.003482 0.004243 0.005215 0.006588 0.008543 0.011342 0.015904
2026-03-15 0.003312 0.004056 0.005014 0.006378 0.008343 0.011196 0.015932
2026-03-22 0.003239 0.003995 0.004980 0.006401 0.008482 0.011569 0.016837
2026-03-29 0.003190 0.003964 0.004984 0.006478 0.008704 0.012081 0.018022
2026-04-05 0.003100 0.003874 0.004904 0.006428 0.008732 0.012290 0.018703
2026-04-12 0.003029 0.003807 0.004852 0.006416 0.008814 0.012586 0.019564
2026-04-19 0.002947 0.003723 0.004773 0.006359 0.008822 0.012761 0.020216
2026-04-26 0.002930 0.003727 0.004817 0.006488 0.009128 0.013449 0.021908
2026-05-03 0.002864 0.003662 0.004761 0.006460 0.009180 0.013708 0.022793
2026-05-10 0.002810 0.003609 0.004720 0.006455 0.009268 0.014032 0.023839
2026-05-17 0.002732 0.003522 0.004626 0.006363 0.009206 0.014086 0.024329
2026-05-24 0.002661 0.003442 0.004540 0.006280 0.009156 0.014157 0.024862
2026-05-31 0.002615 0.003398 0.004505 0.006275 0.009236 0.014468 0.025953